AZ Votes
AZ Votes Election Night Special
Episode 53 | 59m 43sVideo has Closed Captions
Join Arizona Horizon for an election night special as we analyze early results
Join Arizona Horizon for an election night special as we analyze early results with four political consultants. Jason Barraza of the consulting firm Veridus, Bob Charles of First Strategic Communications, consultant Lorna Ferguson and Lorenzo Sierra of Matters of State Strategies join us to give us their take on election day results.
AZ Votes
AZ Votes Election Night Special
Episode 53 | 59m 43sVideo has Closed Captions
Join Arizona Horizon for an election night special as we analyze early results with four political consultants. Jason Barraza of the consulting firm Veridus, Bob Charles of First Strategic Communications, consultant Lorna Ferguson and Lorenzo Sierra of Matters of State Strategies join us to give us their take on election day results.
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Learn Moreabout PBS online sponsorshipA WHILE BEFORE WE SEE RESULTS FROM APACHE COUNTY, A DEMOCRATIC STRONG HOLD AND NATIVE AMERICANS WERE CRUCIAL TO THE DEMOCRATS' VICTORY AND BIDEN'S VICTORY HERE IN 2020.
>> STEPHANIE, THANK YOU SO MUCH.
WE'LL COME TO YOU ON OUR ELECTION SPECIAL WHICH IS JUST ABOUT TO START AT 10:00 AS WE HAVE A PANEL OF POLITICAL PUNDITS AND EXPERTS READY TO BREAK DOWN VERY INTERESTING NUMBERS.
WE'LL SEE YOU IN JUST A MOMENT WHEN WE GET TO OUR SHOW AT 10:00.
IT'S A 50/50 SPLIT.
JASON, LET'S START WITH YOU.
THIS IS NOT A DONE DEAL YET.
>> WE NEED THAT DISCLAIMER SOME PEOPLE THOUGHT THIS WOULD BE A CLOSE ELECTION.
THIS WILL BE A NAIL-BITER UP TO THE END.
THIS IS A GREAT SIGN FOR REPUBLICANS STATEWIDE.
FIRST BATCH COMING IN IS 50/50.
>> WE KNEW THE REPUBLICANS HAD AN EFFORT TO DO MORE MAIL IN BALLOTS.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT MY SIDE OF TOWN IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE COUNTY THIS IS WHERE YOU HAD A LOT OF DEMOCRATIC VOTES.
WAIT TO SEE THE WEST VALLEY PRECINCTS COMING IN.
>> ANY OVER CONFIDENCE?
>> YES, 100%.
THE.
MARGIN AT WHICH REPUBLICANS RETURN THEIR EARLYRN BALLOTS, TRUMP SHOULD HAVE BEEN B BETTER POSITIONED BY THE FIRST DROP.
THE FACT THAT HARRIS WAS IN THE LEAD SHOULD BE CONCERNING THE FIRST DROP HE SHOULD HAVE HAD MORE YOU MENTIONED THE SENATE RACE.
>> WITH THEC NUMBERS LOOKING LIKE THEY ARE WE ASSUMED IT WOULD BE A REPLAY ORE HER GOVERNORS RACE.
IT'S DRAMATIC.
>> HOW DRAMATIC IS THIS?
>> VERY THOSE WHO ADOPTED THE TRUMP BRAND IT'S NOT CARRYING WITH THEM.
>> 100%.
WE KNEW GOING INTO THIS REUBEN WOULD PULL IT OFF.
LAKE TRYING TO RUN AS DONALD TRUMP DOESN'T MEAN SHE'S TRUMP IN ARIZONA.
>> WE HAVE SEEN AA.
LOT OF THEM TRY TO ADOPTPT THIS BUT THEY ARE NOT TRUMP.
>> ONLY TRUMP CAN TRUMP.
>> I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE A BIT CLOSER.
>> IT COMES DOWN TO CANDIDATE QUALITY AND MESSAGING.G.
HE'S FOLLOWED STATEWIDE.
WITHAT KATY AND KRISTEN.
HE RAN AS A MODERATE, RIGHT., THAT'S WHAT WINS STATEWIDE.
KARI LAKE DECIDED TO CONTINUE THE BRASH REPUBLICAN TRUMP BRAND THATAN HAS NOT BEEN SUCCESSFUL.
>> IS THAT SOMETHING FROM THE RIGHTG SIDE OF THE AISLE.
DOES SHE SLOW LAIN TO THE FAST A FUTURE IN ARIZONA POLITICS.
>> I HOPE NOT.
IT'S DONE.
THIRD TIME IS THE CHARM, PLEASE, NO.
WHEN YOU SEE HOW BADLY B YOU ARE LOSING.
>> JASON, THIS IS AN INTERESTING RACE ANDND WE HAVE INTERESTING NUMBERS HERE REGARDING THE INCUMBENT ON THIS ONE.
>> IT IS EARLY.
HE'S BEEN TRAILING FOR MANY DAYS FOLLOWING THE ELECTION.
THIS IS NOT NECESSARILY SOMETHING NEW FOR HIM.
OBVIOUSLY, SHAW IS WINNING HERE.
>> AS FAR AS EARLY AND LATE, HOW BIG OF A DEAL?
>> IT'S A BIG DEAL.
NOBODY WORKERS HARDER WHEN I SAW HIM YESTERDAY HE WAS 9 DOORS SHORT.
HE WOULD HAVE PERSONALLY KNOCKED.
I WATCHED HIM HIT IT BEFORE.
HE'SBE AMAZING.
HE'S PROFESSIONAL.
NO ONE OUT WORKS HIM.
>> IS SCHWEIKERT STILL IN THESE.
>> WE DON'T HAVE ELECTION DAY POLLING RESULTS FROM THE COUNTY.
WE HAVE SEEN THOSETY NUMBERS.
I THINK IT WILL BE CLOSE.
HE'S BEEN HERE BEFORE.
HE HAS BIG NAMING.
>> WE WON'T KNOW THE RESULTS UNTIL 2027.
>> POTENTIALLY CANDIDATE QUALITY TO A CANDIDATEA OF THIS QUALITY, I DON'T KNOW.
>> I WANT TO GET TO CONGRESSIONAL RACES.NA IL WANT TO GET TO THE TABULATION AND STEPHANE, YOU HAD A BUSY DAY.
LET'S TALK ABOUT PROBLEMS OUT THERE.
ANYTHING YOU HEARD ABOUT AS FAR AS PROBLEMS ARE CONCERNED YOU SPOKE WOULD A LOT OF VOTERS.
>> I'LL START BY SAYING IT'S BEEN CHILL THEY HAVE BIG FEELINGS AND THEYIN TIERED UP.
ONE WOMAN HAD A MISCOURAGE.
SHE WASRA TALKING ABOUT THE IMPORTANCE OF ABORTION AND HER VOTE AND REPRODUCTIVE RIGHTS.RI SHE SAID, WHEN SHE HAD THE MISCOURAGE HER LIFE WAS H THREATENED.
SHE NEEDED A DNC SHE WAS A HARRIS VOTER.
MANY SAID THEY CAN'T WAIT FOR THE ELECTION TO BE OVER.
A HAR DRESSER AT THE INDIAN BEND SHE HAS TO STAY SILENT.
EVERYBODY IS IN THEIR INFORMATION BUBBLE.
SHE VOTED TODAY PROUDLY.
SHEPR SAIDIZE WON'T TURN ON THE TV FOR THREE DAYS.
THERE IS A REAL SENSE OF OVERWOMEN.
WE GOT THE DOOR KNOCKS AND TEXTS MESSAGES AND CALLS.
ALLLL OF THE MAIL ARIZONANS CAN'T WAIT FOR THIS TO BE OVER.
WE SAW WHAT HAPPENED MIRE THERE WERE COURT C CASES THAT CONTINUE.
PEOPLE INDICTED AND GOING TO TRIAL.
WHATRI I NOTICED WAS AN ATTEMPT BY VOTERS ON BOTH SIDES TO TRY TO HAVE MORE CIVIL INTERACTIONS WITH EACH OTHER.
THATHE AMOUNTED TO THE SHY VOTER THEY DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH SOCIAL CAPITOL THEY WILL LOSE IF THEY DO THAT.
THAT'S WHAT I HEARD TODAY.
>> DID WE SEE ANY JAMMED PAPER OR MISPLACED BALLOTS.
BILL GATES SAID THERE IS NO PERFECT ELECTION.TI THAT'S A SIZABLE PORTION OF THE NATIVE-AMERICAN VOTE IN ARIZONA.
IT IS ON THE NAVAJO VOTERS TURNED AWAY.
THE POLLS WERE EXTENDED TO 9:00 P.M.
THEY WERE EAGER TO HAVE THEIR VOICES HEARD.
OTHER THAN THAT, WE ARE CAUTIOUS TO REPORT THIS.
THERE WAS AN FBI WARNING THAT CAME OUT FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR BOMB THREATS.
HAD TO INVESTIGATE THE BOMB THREATS.
WE HAVE NOT SEEN ANY ACTIVITY HERE THIS IS A HUE THREAT ENVIRONMENT THIS ELECTION.
NOTHINGT HAS HAPPENED SO FAR IT SEEMED RELATIVELY CALM.
>> ALL RIGHT, THANK YOU SO MUCH.
STEPHANE, GREAT WORK.
THANK YOU FOR YOUR CONTRIBUTIONS TODAY.
>> THIS IS THE ONE WHERE LATE POLLING SUGGESTED WE MIGHT HAVE A NECK AND NECK RACE.
>> NOT SO NECK AND NECK I DON'T KNOW IF APACHE COUNTY WAS INCLUDED IN THAT.
HOW WILL THAT IMPACT THE RACE AND THE RETURNS WE ARE SEEING IT COULD PLAY A FACTOR.
>> THEY USUALLYCT REPORT LATER THAN MOST.
THERE ARE REMOTE POOLING STATIONS THAT HAVE TO BRING THEIR VOTING BOXES IN.
THAT'S BEEN THE CASE.
>> STILL A SHOCKER IF CRANE DOESN'T WIN.
>> WILL THE MARGINS SHIFT, YES.
ELI WILL RETURN.
>> LET'S GO CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 3.
D THAT'S A BIG WIN.
LET'S GO TO CD4.
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 4.
THAT WAS PREDICTED.
IS THAT CLOSER THAN YOUS THOUGHT OR PRETTY MUCH WHERE YOU THOUGHT?
>> NO, COOPER HAD RUN IN A SIMILAR AREA BEFORE.
HEFO HAD SOME NAME ID.
WHERE IT WILL END UP.
>> OKAY.
>> YOU HAVE AN>> IDEA?
>> AT ONE POINT REPUBLICANS WERE SAYING THIS W IS NOW A SWING DISTRICT.
THAT NEVER MATERIALIZED.
>> ON PAPER ITTE SHOULD HAVE.
LET'S GO TO DISTRICT 6. WHO WOULD LIKE TO TAKE THIS ONE, BOB I'LL START WITH YOU.
>> HE WORKED HARD FOR THE DISTRICT.
THIS GO AROUND, NOT LOOKING GOOD.IN IG DON'T KNOW THAT THIS DEFICIT IS SURMOUNTABLE.
>> WHAT'S GOING ON HERE.. >> THIS IS A SURPRISEUR TO ME AS WELL.
ESPECIALLY, NOT NECESSARILY THE ANGEL IS AHEAD IN THE RACE.
THE MARGIN IS SO BROAD RIGHT NOW.
I THOUGHT THIS RACE WOULD BE CLOSER.
OF COURSE, AGAIN, IT COULD STILL GET CLOSER BEFORE THIS IS ALL SAID ANDLL DONE.
CERTAINLY SITTING WITH OVERNG A 20,000 VOTE ADVANTAGE RIGHT NOW.
THAT HAS TO BE A COMFORTABLE SPOT FOR THE CHAMPAIGN.
>> DO WE WAKE UP TOMORROW AND SEE A DIFFERENT RACE?
>> I DON'T THINK SO AND THE CHOICE ON THE BALLOT AND HER POSITION ON CHOICE WAS THE DETERMINING FACTOR IN THE RACE.
>> I THINK THERE WAS A LOT OF MONEY SPENT WHICH IS UNFORTUNATELY.
HE'S A GREAT, HE'S A GREAT CONGRESSMAN AND REPUBLICAN THIS IS NOT WHERE YOUO WANT TO BE SITTING.
>> NO.
HE'S YOUNG AND WELL SUPPORTED.
>> LET'S GO TO DISTRICT 7.
THIS IS OBVIOUSLY YOU KNOW, THE INCUMBENT.
HE HAD HEALTH PROBLEMS.
>> THIS ISLE MY CONGRESSMAN THIS IS HIS LAST RODEO.
HE'S BEEN INSTRUMENTAL FOR I SO LONG.
I'LL LET YOU HANDLE 8.
>> I'M SURPRISED IT'S THAT CLOSE.
I THOUGHT THIS WOULD RUN AWAY MORE.
I DON'T THINK HE WILL HAVE A SHOT AT BRINGING BACK BUT CLOSER THAN WE THOUGHT.
>> CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 9 THE LAST UPDATE WE HAD.
PAUL IS THE INCUMBENT.
>> YEAH, IT DIDN'T MATTER WHO.
HE WILL WIN THAT ONE.
>> LET'S GET TO THE PROPOSITIONS HERE.
63%.
>> WE SAW ALL OF THE INITIAL POLLING THAT IT WAS IN THE HIGH 60s.
THERE WASs.
OBVIOUSLY A LOT OF CONVERSATION ABOUTON THE ABORTION TOPIC FOR THE PAST FEW YEARS AND THIS WAS A VOTER LEAD INITIATIVE AND I MOMENTUM BUILD-UPUI BY THE COMMUNITY.
IT'S NOT SURPRISING.
>> IT'S SO HIGH YOU HAVE TO WONDER IF THEY WENT TO THE POLLS FOR THAT REASON.
DID IT HAVE COATTAILS.
>> THIS WOULD HAVETA PASSED IN FLORIDA.
>> THEY HAVE THE 60% THRESHOLD.
THIS ISOL SHOWING HOW CONSCIOUS IS FEMALE VOTERS WERE AND ALL VOTERS IN GENERAL SAW THIS AS THE RIGHT THING TO DO.
I WAS IN THE HOUSE WHEN WE FOUGHT THAT 15 WEEK ABORTION BAN.
I THINK THIS IS A WELL-DEFINED ISSUE.
>> IS THAT MARGIN SO LARGE IT ALSO EFFECTS THE OTHER NUMBERS WE HAVER SEEN IN THE OTHER RACES IN THE STATE?
>> ABSOLUTELY.
PEOPLE WANTED TOBS COME OUT AND VOTE FOR THIS.
>> YEAH, THE NUMBER ONE VOTE TALLY.
>> DON'T DO TOO MUCH MATH.
PROPOSITION 314 IS THE CRIMINAL PENALTY THIS IS T WINNING BIG TIME.
>> WHEN YOU TALK IMMIGRATION AND VOTING AT THE BORDER.
THERE WAS AOR LOT OF TALK THIS WAS REFERRED TO BYRE THE REPUBLICAN LEGISLATURE.
WHENLE YOU TALK ABOUT FENTANYL ACROSS THE BORDER.
>> THIS DOESN'T LOOK LIKE IT RESONATED WELL.
>> SHAW MENTIONEDL.
THE BORDER.ER YOU HAD CANDIDATES DOING VERY WELL THAT HAD THE BOTHERRER AS PART OF THEIR PLATFORM.
I THINK, WE NEED TO BE REALISTIC ABOUT WHAT'S HAPPENING AT THE SOUTHERN BORDER.
PEOPLE WANT MORE SECURITY THERE THAN WE HAD OVER THE PAST FEW YEARS.
>> JASON, SAME QUESTION.
DID THIS HAVETI COATTAILS TO IT.
I WOULD THINK THERE WOULD BE A STRONGER SHOWING IT IS AN IMPORTANT ISSUE.
>> YEAH, THAT'S NOT GOING ANYWHERE AT 61%.
THIS ONE ELIMINATES PARTISAN PRIMARIES.
THEY LOVE THE IDEA OF PARTISANSHIP.
BOB 59%?
>> IT WAS A CONFUSING ONE FOR VOTERS.
IF YOU TALK ABOUT THIS THEY T DIDN'T KNOW WHAT THE YES OR NO MEANT.
YOU HAD BOTH PARTIES OPPOSING.
THEY LOOK AT THEIR TICKET AND SAY I'LL END THERE.
>> IN A PARTISAN WORLD.
IT'S HARD TO GET THISS ONE THROUGH.
>> YOU HAD THE CAVEAT WHERE THE LEGISLATURE WOULD TERM THE FINAL BITSAL OF RULING ON THIS.
I THINK IT WAS JUST TOO MUCH.
PEOPLE WANT TO SEE GOOD CANDIDATES UP AND A DOWN THE BALLOT.
THIS DIDN'T GET IT DONE.
WILL WE SEE THIS.
AGAIN?HI >> I THINK WE WILL IN THE FUTURE.
THEY ARE GETTING THE CONERERRIZATION STARTED AGAININ IN ARIZONA.
GIVEN THEIZ OPPOSITION.
THEY WENT THROUGH A LOT OFE LITCATION.
THERE WERE QUESTIONS ABOUT THIS BEING ON THE BALLOT THEY DIDN'T HAVE TIME TO LAUNCH A CAMPAIGN.
THEG PRESIDENTIAL RACE IN ARIZONA.
THIS BUBBLED UP TO THE TOP OF VOTERS MINDS.
>> I BELIEVE, DO WE HAVE PROPOSITION 133 UP HERE AS WELL.
THIS REQUIRES PARTISAN PRIMARIES.
ARE WEIM GETTING THIS ONE RIGHT.
THIS LOST ALSO.
WHAT'S HAPPENING.
IT CAME DOWN TO HEY, IF I DON'T KNOW WHAT I'M VOTING FOR I'M VOTING NO.
>> JASON.
>> THIS DIDN'T HAVE A LOT OF PEOPLE TALKINGK ABOUT IT.
IF THEY DON'T TALK ABOUT IT THEY SAY NO.
>> YOU DON'T WANT PARTISAN PRIMARIES, ARE HOW DO WE MAKE SENSE OF THIS?
I DON'T KNOW AND I'M VOTING NO.
>> THAT'S THE CONSENSUS.
>> KEEP ITS MOVING.
>> 138 IS A TIPPING MEASURE.
IS THAT AUR SURPRISE.
THERE WAS A REAL PUSH TO GET THIS DONE.
>> WHEN YOU SAW THE PEOPLE BEHIND IT YOU WOULD THINK.
IT GOES BACK TO THE AVERAGE VOTER THAT DOESN'T DO ALL OF THE RESEARCH.
>> IS IT ANOTHER EXAMPLEHE OF MAKE IT CLEAR AND SIMPLE?
>> KEEP IT SIMPLE, THAT'S WHAT THE VOTERS NEED.
THE LANGUAGE COULD HAVE BEEN CONFUSING.
WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT REDUCING WAGES THE PUBLIC WILL SAY NO.
>> DID YOU UNDERSTAND THIS?
I CAN'T IMAGEGE PEOPLE JUST WANTING TO DO ALL OF THE RESEARCH ON THIS ONE.
>> I SHOULD HAVE TALKED TO YOU.
>> LET'S GO TO JUDGES PROPOSITION 137 IS UP NEXT.
REMOVE TERM LIMITS, NO, BOB.
NO.
AA RESOUNDING NO.
>> PEOPLE WANT A SAY SO EVEN WHEN THEY DO THE BALLOT THEY HAVE 50 JUDGES AND NOT SURE WHERE OR WHEN OR HOW TO JUDGEOW THEM.
THEY WANT THEIR SAY SO.
>> WITH THE TWO SUPREME COURT JUSTICES THEY SAIDC OKAY.
>> IT'D WAS PROBABLY CONFUSING AND VOTERS IN ARIZONA DON'T LIKE IT WHEN THEY TAKE IT AWAY FROM THEM.
WE HAVE SEEN THAT WITH OTHER SIMILARH MEASURES.
THEY DON'T WANT THATME TAKEN AWAY FROM THEM THEY LIKE TO PICK AND CHOSE.OS >> IT MAKES SENSE DON'T TAKE THISAWAY BUT DON'T TAKEAWAY THE JUDGES WE TOOK A BIT OF THATAWAY.
>> I THINK WE COULD HAVE HAD A SHOT IF THEY SAID A YES VOTE MEANS YOU DON'T HAVE TO VOTE ON JUDGES AGAIN.
IFAG I VOTE WHAT DOES THIS MEAN.
UNLESS THEY COME MEETED A CRIME.
>> NEXT ELECTION CYCLE WE CANYC SEE THIS AGAIN.
>> PROBABLY NOT.
IT CONTINUES.
CORPORATION RACE.
LET'S GET THAT ONE-UP THERE IF- WE CAN.
OKAY, WHAT DO WE KNOW ABOUT THE CORPORATION RACE WHO IS WINNING AND W WHY?
>> I'LL TELL YOU WHY AND SOME MIGHT NOT LIKE THIS.
WE ARE A REPUBLICAN STATE.AT YOU HAVE THREE REPUBLICANS RIGHT NOW LEADING AND LEADING SEMIFAIRLY.
I THINK THIS PROVES THAT OUT.
THE RESEARCH DONE AT THAT LEVEL IS DIFFICULT IF YOU DON'T KNOW LET THE REPUBLICAN TAKE CARE OF THE MONEY.
>> IF YOU LOOK AT THE RACES THAT DON'T GET THAT MUCH ATTENTION PEOPLE GO BACK TO THEIR POLITICAL HOME YOUOM SEE THAT WITH THE CORPORATION COMMISSIONS.
YOU USED TO SEE THIS WITH OTHER RACES.
YOU HAD A SOLID REPUBLICAN SLATE.
NOT A LOT OF CONTROVERSY.
THEY JUST GO ANDY.
VOTE PARTY LINES.
>> JASON, ARE YOU SURPRISED?
>> IF YOU HAVED AN ENERGY BILL AND THEY ARE ALL BIG.
WHERE IS IT HAPPENING.
>> INCREDIBLY IMPORTANT PART>> OF THE GOVERNMENT.
SOME PEOPLE MADENT AN ARGUMENT ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT PARTS IS THE CORPORATION COMMISSION.
WE SHOULD PACOY CLOSE ATTENTION TO IT.
I AGREE, THIS IS DOWN BALLOT.
PEOPLE AREOT CONFUSED WHAT THEY DO AND WHAT THEY ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR.
THEY GO HOMEFO TO WHERE THEIR OWNHE PARTY REGISTRATION IS.
I EXPECTED THE RACE TO BE BROADER ADVANTAGE TO THE REPUBLICANS.
IT'S CLOSER THAN I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE.
>> IT'S REALLY HARD TO RAISE MONEY FOR THIS.
IT'S A REALLY HARD RACE TO RAISE MONEY FOR.
>> LET'S GET TO COUNTY RACES.
THEY HAVE A DEMOCRAT CRAT RUNNING AGAINST JUSTIN HEAP.
HE KNOCKED OUT THE INCUMBENT AND WE HAVE A CLOSE RACE.
>> YEAH, I THINK, WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE COUNTY, THE REPUBLICANS DID A GOOD JOB REGISTERING.
I THINK WE MIGHT SEE HERE IS WHAT YOU MIGHT SEE WHEN WE HAVE THE SHERIFF RACES AND REPUBLICAN THAT WENT THROUGH SOMETHING BRUISING.
IT'S TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
YOU SEE IT.
BEHIND.
>> WE HAVE A LOT OF HELP FROM A LOT OF FOLKS INCLUDING THE INCUMBENT.
>> IT.
THINK, YOU KNOW, YOU WILL SEE THE REPUBLICANS THAT WERE PAYINGE ATTENTION TO THE PRIMARY.
THERE WAS NO WAY THEY WOULDHE SUPPORT HIM.
HE WOULD NEVER ATTRACT THETT VOTERS BASED OFF OF ELECTION INTEGRITY ISSUES.
HE DIDN'T HAVE MUCHS.
OF A CAMPAIGN, LET'S BE HONEST.T.
THEY BELIEVED HE MIGHT BEIG AHEAD BY MORE.
IT WAS LOOKING GOOD BASED OFF OF THE LACK OF CHAMPAIGN FOR THE DEMOCRATS.
>> I'M NOT A DENIER OR MAGA.
IS THAT ENOUGH TO WIN A RACE.
IF YOU LOOK THE DAY AFTER THE PRIMARY AND HE HAD 300 FOLLOWERS ON F STRINGER.
I THINK, FOLKS JUST STARTED TO SEND HIM MONEY AND UNDERSTAND WHAT WAS AT STAKE.
VERY POP POPULAR AMONG DEMOCRATS.
WHEN HEMO LOST THE RACE.
A LOT OF PEOPLE CAME IN AND SENT HIM MONEY AND SUPPORT.
>> YEAH, JASON, GOOD CHAIRMAN PAIN OR GOOD ENOUGH?
>> IT'S TO CLOSE TO MAKE C A DETERMINATION.N.
WHAT'S HARD FOR ME, WE KNOW OVER 100,000 MORE REPUBLICAN BALLOTS IN THE COUNTY THAT CAME INAM EARLY BAL LOTS.
>> WE WILL KICK IN WITH THE COUNTY SHERIFF'S RACE.
>> THIS COULD BE.
HOW ARE THESE VOTES GOING TO TURNOUT.
HOW MANY EARLY BALLOTS ARE OUTTS THERE AND COMING IN.
THE RETURNS WE NEED TO SEE.
THOSE ARE DETERMINING FACTORS THAT WILLER PLAY OUT AS THE EVENING PRODEPRESSES.OD THIS ONE IS SURPRISING WITH A HISTORY OF SHERIFF JOE.
THIS WAS A STORY LINE THAT DIDN'T STICK.
>> WHAT DO YOU MAKE?
>> I'M HOLDING OUT HOPE, ALL OF THE VOTERS I SAW ON MY SIDE OF TOWN, THE DEMOCRATIC VOTERS WILL COME IN FOR TYLER KAMP.
>> I'M NOT THAT SURPRISE.
SHERIDAN CANRI PULL THIS OFF.F.
THIS GOES BACK TO, THE REPUBLICANS DID A GOOD JOB TALKING ABOUT TYLER CAMP.
HE ALSO HAD A PRETTY BRUISING PRIMARY AS WELL.
I THINK THE SHERIFF DIDN'T REALLY PLAY AN ISSUE HERE.
IT'S REPUBLICANS, AGAIN, THE LEAD VOTE IN THE COUNTY WILL GO HOME AND VOTE FOR SHERIDAN.
>> IT WILL BE SHERIFF SHERIDAN.
>> IID THINK SO.
I'D HESITATE TO PUT TOO MUCH MONEY ON THAT.
>> IT'S THE PRETTY CLOSE RACE.
LET'S GO TO COUNTY ATTORNEY.
THAT'SAT OUR NEXT RACE.
RACHEL THE INCUMBENT.
BOB THAT'S PROBABLY ENOUGH.
>> YOU HEARDEN THE STATEMENT A FEW TIMES CANDIDATE QUALITY.
RACHEL IS A FANTASTIC CANDIDATE.
THEE COUNTY, SHE SERVES INCREDIBLY WELL AND DOESN'T POLITICIZE THE OFFICE.
WHENOF VOTERS LOOK AT THAT I CAN GET BEHIND AEH RACHEL MITCHELL.
I THINK SHE'S FINE.
>> YOU AGREE WITH THAT.
>> YEAH, SHE'S DONE A GREAT JOB AS THE ATTORNEY.
NOT POLITICIZING THE OFFICE WHAT SO EVER.
I KNOW A NUMBER OF DEMOCRATS THAT VOTED FOR HER.
YOU DIDN'T SEE THE ENTHUSE ENTHUSIASM.
YOU DIDN'T SEE THAT IN THE RACE.
RACHEL MITCHELL GREAT CANDIDATE AND THIS IS A WIN FOR HER.
>> ANY SURPRISE AT ALL HERELL LORENZO?
>> NO SURPRISE.
THIS RACE WITHIN THE UNDER THE RADAR.
>> NOT A LOT OF COMPLAINTS.
>> CONTROVERSIES HERE AND THERE.ON >> NOT ENOUGH TO TAKE HER OUT OF OFFICE.
>> ALL RIGHT, LET'S GET TO LEGISLATURE RACES.CE WHAT DO YOU SAY, WE START WITH DISTRICT 2 IN THE SENATE.
THERE WE GO RIGHT THERE.RE WHO WANTS TO TAKE THIS ONE.HON >> I THINK WE ALL KNEW THIS WAS A RACE TO WATCH.
WE WEREH.
TALKING ABOUTOU THE MAKEUP OF THE ARIZONA SENATE WE ARE LOOKING AT SWITCHING THESE.ES THEY POPPED UP THE EARLY BALLOTS CAME IN.
VOTESS BETWEEN.
WE DON'T HAVE DAY OF ELECTION VOTES YET.
IT'S STILL TOO EARLY AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE.
>> CAN THEY MAKE THAT MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE.
THE PERCENTAGE IS BIG AND VOTES NOT SO MUCH.
>> LOOKING AT A FEW THINGS.
KAISER WON THIS THE LAST GO ROUND 3,000 VOTES.
WE HAD INDEPENDENCE IN THERE THEY LOST 103.
WHEN IT COMES DOWN TO THE FINAL TABULATION PULLED DOWN BY JUST A LITTLE.
>> WE COULD WAKE UP TOMORROW OR THE NEXT DAY.
>> SHE WORKED VERY HARD.
SHE'S BEEN.
AT THIS SINCE THE END OF THE LAST CYCLE.
SHE'S BEEN RUNNING FOR THIS RACE FOR QUITE A BIT OF TOWN.
ACCORDING TO HER, I SPOKE TO HER YESTERDAY THEY KNOCKED ON 130,000 DOORS.
THEY PUT IN THE HARD WORK AND THEY CAN HOLD IT.
>> WILL THE DOOR KNOCKING MAKE A DIFFERENCE.
>> WORKING THEOR DISTRICT HARD THE WAY THE REPRESENTATIVE HAS COULD BE THE DETERMINING FACTOR THAT KEEPS HER IN THE LEAD.
>> YOU BUYING THAT?
>> I'M NOT THERE YET.
WHAT DO WE MAKE OF THIS ONE WITH KISS TEEN MARCH.
>> WHAT GIVES ME COMFORT I HEARD A LOT OF TALK FROM REPUBLICAN INPUN DENTS THIS WOULD BE A RUN AWAY FOR THE REPUBLICANS.
>> MARSH HAD THE SEAT.
SHE HAD THAT GOING FOR HER.
THEHE NUMBERS LOOK BETTER THAN THEY DID IN PAST.
>> WHAT ABOUT YOU?
>> I THINK CHRISTIAN MARCH WILL WIN AGAIN.
THERE WAS A LOT OF MONEY SPENT FOR IT TO BECOME OKAY.
>> DEMOCRATS NEEDED THE SEAT.
>> WE WILL LOOK BACK AND ASK WHERE KATY HOBBS HAS BEEN.
SHE PUT SO MUCH INTO THE RACES AND TONIGHT.
IT'ST.
BARING FRUIT.
LET'S GO TO 13.
JD A FAMILIAR NAME.
VETERAN AT THE CAPITOL.
HE'SPI WINNING BUT NOT BY MUCH.
>> HE'S BEEN HIRE MANY TIMES.
HE HAD A MILLION DOLLARS SPENT IN THAT RACE.HA I AGREE WITH BOB.
WE GET MORE RESULTS AND HE WILL INCREASE THE LEAD.
>> HE HAS 1,000 VOTE LEAD HERE.
THAT'S WONDERFUL.
NOT WHERE HE WOULD LIKE TO BE.
HE'D LIKE TO SEE THAT DOUBLED OR TRIPLED.
THAT COULD HAPPEN FOR HIM.
>> WAS THERE A REALITY OF DEMOCRATS TAKINGIN THE SEAT.
>> WE COULD HOPE.
I THINK AS YOU LOOK AT THE TECH WORKER IT WILL SHIFT MORE BLUE OUR DEMOCRAT IS STILL UP THERE.
BETWEEN THE THREE FOLKS.
IT'S VERYS.
TIGHT.
>> LEGISLATURE DISTRICT 13?
>> THEY WILL PULL THAT OUT.
THEY WILL OVERCOME THE SMALL DEFICIT.
>> I THINK IT STAYS A SPLIT.
>> JASON.
>> I'M HAPPY WHERE REECE IS.
I DON'T THINK IT WILL HOLD.
THESE ARE TWO STRONG REPUBLICANG CANDIDATES.
>> JASON, STICKINGCK WITH YOU THE STATE SENATE.
WE CAN GO BACK TO THE SENATE.
WELL, WE CAN GO TO THE HOUSE.
IF THEY WANT TO GO TO THE HOUSE WE CAN GO TO THE HOUSE.
WHAT DO WE MAKE OF THIS, JASON.
>> IT'S INTERESTING RIGHT NOW WE SEE SUCH A LEADUC WITHIN THE RACE.
WHAT I'M QUESTIONING ANDG WANT TO EXPLORE IS WHERE IS THE VOTE FROM THE COUNTY.
THERE ISOU A SIGNIFICANT CHUCKIG THAT CAN COMEOM INTO THE RACE AND THAT WILL BE SKEWED.
>> THAT'S A BIG LEAD, LORENZO.
>> THAT'S ANZ VERY BIG LEAD AND THIS PERSON ALWAYS WORKED HARD.
HE WAS ALWAYS AT A COUNTY FAIR OR PARADE.
HE WAS DOING ALL OF THE RETAIL THINGS YOU WANT TO DO.
>> LOREN LORNA IS THAT THE MARGIN?
>> AS WE SEE MORE OUT OF THE COUNTY THAT WILL GO REPUBLICAN.
>> YOU THINK SO?
>> I DO.
>> I DIDN'T HAVE THEM DOWN THAT MUCH.
>> YEAH, IT'S ABOUT THE HOUSE RACE.
>> THE HOUSE RACE, THE DEMOCRATS PICK UP A SEAT FOR SURE.
>> LET'S GET TO THE SENATE RACE.
YOU SAY THIS IS A SURPRISE FOR YOU.
>> IT'S A SHOCK.
WE SEE, DEMOCRATS THE OUTREACH THEY HAD THERE.
H THEY PREFORM BETTER THAN THEY ARE IN THE REST OF THE STATE.
THIS IS A VICTIM OF THAT.
>> THE BRUISING PRIMARY, DID THAT LEAVE MARKS.
>> VOTERS GET TIRED OF IT.. THAT MIGHT BE WHAT WE ARE SEEING IN DISTRICTS 17.
I'M WITH BOB.
I DIDN'T THINK IT WOULD BE BY THIS MUCH IS THAT INSURMOUNTABLE.
>> ITIN WILL BE.
HE HAD A BRUISING PRIMARY AND SPENT A LOT OF HIS RESOURCES IN THE PRIMARY.
YOU DIDN'T SEE A LOT AFTER THAT.
LEADING INTO THE GENERAL THAT'S PROBLEMATIC.TI >> THOSE THINGS HOLD OVER?
PRIMARY LIKE THAT LEAVES A BAD TASTE IN YOUR MOUTH.
>> ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU OPPONENT HAS A FOLLOWING, THAT'S PROBLEMATIC.
>> LEGISLATURE DISTRICT 2.
CAN WE CALL THAT UP IF WE CAN.
THERE WE GO.
JASON, WE HAVE A DEMOCRAT IN THE LEAD THERE.E.
DOES THE DEMOCRAT KEEP THE LEAD?
>> IN THIS ONE, I THINK IT DOES.
THE STRONG DEMOCRATIC MOVEMENT IN THE DISTRICT AND HOLDING THROUGH.TH >> WE SPOKE ABOUT THIS BEFORE.
I BEFORE HE LEAVE IT HOLDS.
>> I AGREE.
>> HOW ABOUT THE HOUSE.
I'M SORRY, WE HAD THE HOUSE.US LET'S GO TO LD4.
THERE WE GO.
INTERESTING NUMBERS HERE BOB.
WHAT'S GOING ON THERE?
>> AGAIN, WHEN WE TALK ABOUT PEOPLEE WORKING HARD.
HE WORKEDHA INCREDIBLY HARD.
HE PULLED THIS OUT BUT WE HADUT A BUTLER BACK TO THE HOUSE.
>> I AGREE.
YOU START TO SEE MORE VOTES OUT OF THE COUNTY YOU WILL O SEE NUMBERS SHIFT BACK AND FORTH.
HE WORKED HARD AND IT WILL STAY A REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRAT/D SPLIT.
>> WON'T CHANGE MUTT.
>> KELLI BUTLER HAS ALWAYS BEEN A TOP VOTEGETTER.
I VOTE GETTER.
IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE.
>> WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF IT?
>> YOU CAN'T BE COMFORTABLE.
I MEAN, OBVIOUSLY.
THIS IS NOT LOOKING POSITIVE.
YOU WANT TO BETI IN THE LEAD.
WILL HE HAVE ENOUGH TO OVERCOME, HE WORKS HARD.
GRESHAM WORKS HARD AS WELL.
DEMOCRATS HAVE BEEN POURING RESOURCES IN HERE.
THIS COULD HOLD AS WE GOS FORWARD.
>> LEGISLATURE DISTRICT NINE.
LET'S GO TO THE HOUSE RACE IF WE CAN.
JASON, WE'LL STICK WITH YOU.
>> I'M FEELING GOOD IN THIS DISTRICT.
I D THINK WE MIGHT BE SEEING A VICTIM ON THE REPUBLICAN SIDE OF PARTY FIGHTING AMONG THEIR OWN.
THAT OPENED THE DOOR FOR THE INCUMBENT THAT WILL EASILY MOVE FORWARD.
>> EXPLAIN THE FIGHTING.
WHAT'STI GOING ON HERE.
>> BARBARA, THEY HAVE HAD ISSUES GETTING ALONG TOO WELL.
WHEN YOU ARE RUNNING IN A DISTRICT THAT LEANS DEMOCRAT, THE STRATEGY OF BEING A SINGLE SHOT MIGHT HAVE WORKED IT'S WAY IN HERE.
BOTH.
OF THEM WON AND LENDING THEMSELVES SOME IN FIGHTING.
>> IT'S PLAYING HEAVILY DEMOCRAT BUT DEMOCRAT.
IF IT WASCR A DIFFERENT KINDFE OF REPUBLICAN THEY COULD HAVE PICKED UPIC THE SEAT THERE.
THEY WILL GO BACK TO THE HOUSE.
>> LEGISLATURE DISTRICT 23 ANDE THE HOUSE RACE THERE.
THE NAMES ARE KIND OF MESSED UP.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THE RESULTS.
JASON, WE'LL START WITH YOU.
DISTRICT 23 IN THE HOUSE WHAT DO YOU SEE.
>> THIS IS ONE OF THE FEW DISTRICTS IN ARIZONA THAT HAS A SPLIT REPRESENTATION.
THAT'S THE CASEI GOING FORWARD.AR IT'S A CONSISTENT THORN.
THIS IS A DISTRICT WHERE MOST FEEL THEY SHOULD WIN MOST SEATS IN THE HOUSE.
>> THERE ISN'T A REASON THAT SHOULDN'T BE BOTH OF THESE DEMOCRATIC SEATS.
>> WHAT DO YOU THINK, BIG SUCCESS FOR REPUBLICANS.
THIS WAS THE LAST ELECTION CYCLE.
THEY WILL CONTINUE THAT MO MONEY TUM.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THE BALANCE OF POWER.
>> IT'S EARLY.
WE NEED TO EMPHASIS THAT.
SOME OF THIS WILL PROBABLY CHANGE.
WHAT DO WE SEE AS FAR AS NUMBERS AT THE CAPITOL HOUSE AND SENATE.
>> I THINK REPUBLICANS RETAIN.TAIN.
I HAVE THEIR NUMBER AT 31, 32 POTENTIALLY ON THE SENATE SIDE.
VERY LIKELY TO LOSE.
IF WE HAVE THEM PICK IT UP WE'LL HAVE A SPLIT.
I DON'T KNOW.
I DEFER TO THE REST OF THE PANEL.
>> WHAT DO YOU THINK?
>> A LOT OF SCENARIOS PLAYED OUT.
IT'S STILL TOO EARLY.
THE HOUSE STAYS REPUBLICAN BY THE MARGIN.
WHICH SEAT SWAP YOU CAN SEE WHERE THEY PICK UPSE AND LOSE TO A DEMOCRAT.
THE SENATEE IS THE BIG STORY OF THE NIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL OF GOING DEMOCRAT.
A LOT OF PEOPLE GOING IN TONIGHTIN WITH THE EXPECTATION OF THE SPLIT.
SOME OFT.
THESE, YOU KNOW, CONTESTED RACES REALLYES THROWS, IT REALLY THROWS A WRENCH W INTO THINGS FOR REPUBLICANS.
ITPU COULD GO DEMOCRAT.
>> IF THEY HOLD, ARE YOU READY FOR A DEMOCRATIC SENATE.
>> THAT'S INTERESTING.
I THINK BOB IS RIGHT ON THE HOUSE.
BEST CASE SCENARIO IS A 30/30 HOUSE.
A 16-14 SENATE.
YOU HAVE THE NINTH FLOOR WITH THE DEMOCRAT.
THIS IS A DYNAMIC WE DIDN'T HAVE SINCE THE 60s.
ARE WE READY FOR THAT JASON?
I DON'T KNOW IF ALL OF MYF COLLEAGUES ARE READY FOR THAT.
HEY, IF THESE NUMBERS HOLD.
I THINK THEY ARE IN A GREAT POSITION.
>> THIS IS A SUBSTANTIAL MOVEMENT.
>> IF IT'S A SUBSTANTIAL MOVE.
>> THE BIG SHOT IS IF THEY ACTUALLY TOOK POWER.
>> THEY ARE SHOWING RESULTS.
THEYSU WENT OUT ON A LEDGE WITH HER POSITION.
THEY WANTED TO CHANGE THE MAKEUP OF THE LEGISLATURE.
THEGI GROUPS BACKING THE DEMOCRATS.
IT MAKES IT EASIER TO JOIN THE COALITION EFFORT WHEN YOUR PARTY LEADER IS LEADING IT.
>> YEAH, OBVIOUSLY DEMOCRATS ARE QUITE PLEASED WITH THE EFFORTS.
>> ABSOLUTELY, AGAIN, A LOT OF THIS WENT UNDER THE RADAR WITH THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE ANDE SENATE RACE.
EVERYTHING ON THE BALLOT THEY WERE ABLE TO DO IT EFFECTIVELY.
>> YOU HAVE A SPLIT HOUSE.
SPLIT THEE LEGISLATURE, WHAT DOES THAT MEAN?
WHAT HAPPENS?
WHAT GETS ACCOMPLISHED OR DOESN'T.
>> VERY LITTLE GETS ACCOMPLISHED.
IT'S HARD TOAC MOVE IT OUT OF THE STATE CAPITOL AND LEGISLATURE.
ANYTHING COMINGUR THROUGH THE C REPUBLICAN MAJORITY MEETS THE DEMOCRATIC GOVERNOR ON THE NINTH FLOOR.
THAT DOESN'T CHANGE IF ONE OF THE BODIES IS DEMOCRAT REPUBLICAN ANDDE RUNNING INTO EACH OTHER SOONER.
IT PROBABLY HELPS THE GOVERNOR.
SHE DOESN'T'T HAVE TO DEAL WITH THE W REPUBLICAN ITEMS SENTE TO HER DESK.
>> DOES IT MEAN FEWER REFERRALS.
>> FEWER VETOES.
>> YEAH, YEAH.
>> FEWER STUFF DONE.
SPEAKING OF THE GOVERNOR.
PROPOSITION 175 LET'S TAKE AN LOOK AT THAT AND STATE OFHA EMERGENCY 30 DAYS AFTER DECLARED UNLESS EXTENDED BY THE STATE LEGISLATURE.
WE KNOW WHAT THIS IS ABOUT.
>> APPARENTLY.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE GOVERNOR OF ARIZONA THEY DON'T CARRY THAT MUCH POWH IR.
I THINK THAT'S WHAT THEY SAW.
YOU ARE GIVING MORE POWER TO THE LEGISLATURE OR CONFUSED.
THEY DON'T FULLYNF UNDERSTAND WHAT THIS MEANS, WHY VOTE FOR THIS.
>> THIS WAS SOMETHING THEY DON'T LIKE THE IDEA OF THE MASKS AND THIS ANDD THAT.
>> WE HEARD ABOUT THEE MASKS AND EXECUTIVE EMERGENCY AUTHORITY FORHO YEARS NOW.
THIS WAS ANOTHER ATTACK ON THER EXECUTIVE TO TRY TO LIMIT WHAT THEY COULD DO WITH THEIR POWERS.
IN THE END, THE VOTING PUBLIC, SOMEONE HAS TO BE RESPONSIBLE AND MAKE THE CALL.
>> THAT'S SOMETHING A LOT OFHI REPUBLICANS WOULD AGREE WITH.
>> I THINK THEY SAID IT WELL, THERE HAS TO BE AN EXECUTIVE POWER THAT SAYS I HAVE TO BE THE ADULT IN THE ROOM.
THEY WERE LOOKING AT THIS AND SAYING, I LIKE MY LEGISLATURE.
I DON'T KNOW IF I LIKE THE LEGISLATURE.
I THINK YOU HAD THAT SITUATION.
>> I WAS IN THE LEGISLATURE WHEN THEY TRIED TO DO THIS LEGISLATURELY.
I KNOWLE THESE KNUCKLEHEADS.
I DON'T WANT THEM IN CHARGE.
>> YES, YES.
KNOWLEDGE.
HOMELE FIELD KNOWLEDGE.
WAIT, WE HAVE PROPOSITION 134.
LAW MAKE.
OTHERS ARE NOT HAPPY WITH YOU PEOPLE PUTTING THINGS ON THE BALLOT ON YOUR OWN.
>> THE POOR VOTERS.
THERE ARE SO MANY ISSUES THEY WERE FACING AND SOME WERE SO WONKY.
WE CAN TALK ABOUT THIS AND UNDERSTAND WHAT IT MEANS.
FOR A VOTER TO SEE THIS ON THE BALLOT AN X AMOUNT OF SIGNATURES IS CONFUSING.
I DON'T UNDERSTAND IT SOIT I'M VOTING NO.
IS THIS SOMETHING THAT COULD BE PUT-ON IN THE FUTURE WHEN THERE ISN'T SO MUCH ON THE BALLOT.
>> ANY TIME YOU CAN EXPLAIN IT BETTER, ABSOLUTELY.
ANY TIME THEY GO IN THE BOX AND THEY DON'T UNDERSTAND THE PROPOSITION, THEY ARE LIKELY NO AND THIS IS WHAT HAPPENED.
>> THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE VERSION OF SIGNATURE REQUIREMENT.
>> THIS WAS THE CITIZENS INITIATIVE WAS WRITTEN INTO THE ORIGINAL CONSTITUTION OF ARIZONA.
ONE OF THE BASE THINGS WE HAVE AS A STATE AND IT'S BEEN AROUND FOR AS LONG AS WE HAVE BEEN A STATE.
>> SHOULD LAWMAKERS GET THE MESSAGE THEY DON'T WANT TO BE TOLD -- >> THIS IS ONE OF THE FEW POWERS CITIZENS HAVE AS FAR AS LEGISLATURING FROM THE BALLOT.OT WE CAN DO THAT.
WILL IT BE BACK?
>> I THINK SO.
>> AS LONG AS THEY UTILIZE THE INITIATIVE PROCESS TO MOVE FAR AGENDA.A.
THE OTHER SIDE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IT FORWARD.
>> BACK TO THEFO PRESIDENTIAL RACE.
THE NEW YORK TIMES CALLED GEORGIA FOR DONALDIA TRUMP.
WITH THAT IN MIND AGAIN ARIZONA, WE HAVE 51% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING AND DONALD TRUMP HAS AG SLIGHT LEAD HERE.
THISAD HAS A LONG WAY TO GO.
THAT GEORGIA, THAT'SS A BIG ONE.
>> HE NEEDED IT.
PENNSYLVANIA IS A HUGE ONE.
ARIZONA IS STILL IF PLAY.
>> AS FAR.
AS ARIZONA.
DOES THAT MAKE ARIZONA MORE IMPORTANT OR LESS IMPORTANT?IM >> MORE ATTENTION ON ARIZONA.
WE HAVE A LONOT OF ATTENTION ON ARIZONA.
MORE ATTENTION ON ARIZONA FOR THE HARRIS CHAIRMANRI PAIN.
THEY HAVE TO PULL IT OFF IN ARIZONA.
>> CALLING GEORGIA FOR TRUMP IS THAT THE STORY OF THE NIGHT.
>> IT LOOKED LIKE THE MOMENTUM WAS HEARING AIDED IN HARRIS' WAY.
PEOPLE WERE LEADING AND ONING.
SPUTTERING TO THE END.
TO HAVE IT WHERE IT IS IS A BIT SHOCKING.
>> FROM THE LEFT SIDE OF THEM AISLE, WHAT DO YOU THINK.
>> GEORGIA CALLED FOR THE TRUMP CHAIRMAN PAIN ELIMINATES MULTIPLE PATH WAYS TO GET TO 270.
ARIZONA AND THE REMAINING STATES STILL ON THE BOARD ARE THAT MUCH MORE IMPORTANT.
ALL OF THOSE PATH WAYS AREAY CLOSED FOR THE HARRIS CAMPAIGN.
>> FEW MINUTES LEFT.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THE BIG STORY OF THE NIGHT.
WHAT DO WET.
TAKE FROM TONIGHT.
I'LL START WITH YOU.
>> WE ALL SAID IT.
CANDIDATE QUALITY.
IT MATTERS TO ARIZONANS.
THIS IS A REPUBLICAN STATE.
THEAT CORPORATION COMMISSION PIGGYBACKED TO APPROVE THAT.
IF REPUBLICANS CAN GET BEHIND QUALITY CANDIDATES THEY STAND A GOOD CHOICE.
THE DEMOCRATS HAVE DONE, ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN ARIZONA THEY CREATED A MASSIVE BARRIER.
A LOT STRONGER THAN IT WAS.
IT'S INTERESTING TO SEETO GOING FORWARD CONGRESSIONAL, SENATE, THE STATE.
THE LEGISLATURE BECOMES A BATTLEGROUND.
>> I'M TAKING AWAY THAT TRUMP IS AN ENTITY TO HIMSELF.
HE'S CONTROLLING VOTERS.
VOTERS ARE VOTING FOR DONALD TRUMP AND RUBIN GALLEGO.
>> NOT ONLY DONALD TRUMP BUT RUBEN GALLIGO BUT ALSO ABORTION.
>> I FEEL LIKE AMERICA IS SAYING MESS AROUND ANDND FIND OUT.
>> THE BIG STORY.
WHAT DO YOU TAKE FROM TONIGHT?
OBVIOUSLY, IT'S EARLY.
WE NEED T TO EMPHASIS THAT?
>> I TAKE ARIZONA VOTER WHETHER YOU ARE REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT,AN DEMOCRAT, VERY INDEPENDENT MINDED.
I THINK THE TRADITIONAL NORMS MY DEMOCRATS WILL VOTE THIS WAY AND REPUBLICANS VOTE THAT WAY IS OUT THE WINDOW.
ESPECIALLY THE COUNTY WE ARE SEEING THE FLUCTUATIONS ON ISSUES.
THAT'S WHY CANDIDATESDI NEED TO RUN THEIR OWN RACE AND NOT DEPEND ON WHO IS AT THE TOP OF THE TICKET.
THEY NEED TO FOCUS ON THEMSELVES.
>> LESSON LEARNED TONIGHT.
ALL RIGHT, THANK YOU SO MUCH.
WE WENT THROUGH A LOT OFRO RACES.
QUITE A LOT OF NAMES AND THINGS.
IF IT IS ALL UP ENDED TOMORROW MORNINGDE WE'LL TALK ABOUT IT TOMORROW NIGHT ON ARIZONA HORIZON.
WE'LL HAVE AN UPDATE.
THAT'S IT FOR NOW.
THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR JOINING US.
YOU HAVE A GREAT EVENING.
NO THAT A FEW WEST COAST STATIONS MAY -- LET OUR AUDIENCE KNOW THAT A FEW WEST COAST STATIONS MAY HAVE SOME LOCAL COVERAGE.
HERE WE ARE AGAIN.
AMY: HERE I THOUGHT I HAD A BREAK.
I WAS LOOKING FORWARD TO THAT.
SO, ANYWAY, I THINK SOMETIMES, IT IS NOT EVEN THAT COMPLICATED.
ELECTIONS ARE ABOUT CHANGE OF COURSE OR STATUS QUO, IF YOU ARE NOT HAPPY WITH THE CURRENT STATUS, YOU WILL WANT CHANGE.
ALTHOUGH, IT IS INTERESTING IF HE JUST LOOKED AT THIS QUESTION OF WHO WOULD BRING POSITIVE CHANGE -- THIS IS NATIONALLY.
I WOULD BE VERY CURIOUS TO SEE THIS IN THE SWING STATES.
THERE REALLY, -- NARROWLY, TRUMP WINS 50-49 ON WHO PEOPLE THOUGHT WOULD BRING POSITIVE CHANGE.
IT WAS NOT OVERWHELMING.
THEY BOTH HAD SOME OPPORTUNITY THERE.
I THINK THIS WAS REALLY THE KEY HERE.
WHO DID PEOPLE THINK WAS A STRONG LEADER, TRUMP WINNING THAT BY ABOUT NINE POINTS AND HARRIS LOSING THAT QUESTION BY A SIMILAR AMOUNT.
SO, IF IT IS, THIS WAS THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN MESSAGE ALL ALONG.
IT’S STRENGTH.
IT’S ECONOMY.
IT’S, YOU KNOW, THE GOING OVERBOARD IN TERMS OF APPEALING -- WE TALKED A LOT ABOUT THE MACHO CAMPAIGN.
WE WERE ALL THERE AT THE RNC WATCHING HULK HOGAN RIP A SHIRT OFF.
THE QUESTION WAS WASN’T GOING TO